Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1228.367694 1399.672007 1591.669268 1823.824236 2098.281547 2414.060667 2807.250853
2025-07-13 995.072767 1227.120060 1513.740586 1898.345986 2407.894118 3069.813694 4011.412804
2025-07-20 855.417822 1109.340240 1443.304709 1923.624755 2611.820806 3586.455404 5116.671707
2025-07-27 756.862776 1020.861920 1385.720355 1940.668758 2788.905988 4081.438255 6293.742280
2025-08-03 680.553482 948.348345 1334.128841 1949.552566 2944.603395 4562.801561 7559.985150
2025-08-10 633.797229 910.028894 1323.541572 2013.457968 3190.613654 5230.706698 9320.969461
2025-08-17 593.544214 875.225850 1311.659370 2070.119511 3430.232189 5933.189715 11351.775121
2025-08-24 555.034520 837.912174 1289.815381 2104.543915 3633.588857 6609.310270 13541.732649
2025-08-31 518.944393 800.066586 1261.692420 2122.239569 3806.553361 7261.247338 15898.010276
2025-09-07 491.861637 773.841342 1249.400040 2165.474846 4034.938620 8078.620029 18954.507843
2025-09-14 450.193589 718.928954 1181.184585 2093.705421 4015.607493 8345.590794 20678.158064
2025-09-21 414.166719 670.515160 1119.558995 2026.396991 3993.716787 8601.005816 22471.797301
2025-09-28 379.155313 621.668316 1053.723202 1945.045643 3933.586194 8766.348027 24123.903511
2025-10-05 368.440980 615.255247 1065.883812 2024.940842 4254.969251 9984.381031 29765.532637
2025-10-12 352.228607 597.285459 1054.052739 2052.316820 4457.812891 10946.688481 35085.683131
2025-10-19 336.472978 578.758561 1039.148672 2070.750730 4642.336642 11913.387910 41034.209126
2025-10-26 321.169853 559.790031 1021.430530 2080.361268 4806.435839 12871.625037 47613.309425
2025-11-02 312.966951 553.739573 1029.173958 2149.514988 5143.620156 14488.537098 58457.335093
2025-11-09 304.478752 546.384823 1033.389830 2210.860898 5473.339941 16204.815011 71407.416774
2025-11-16 294.414527 535.062891 1028.055475 2248.145197 5742.690341 17814.872515 85466.490713
2025-11-23 283.559825 521.300376 1016.136445 2267.315006 5962.857350 19332.453544 100729.678989
2025-11-30 275.568500 512.807429 1014.992332 2314.163462 6281.028365 21376.993062 122292.000466
2025-12-07 258.987189 485.274245 968.873791 2236.405143 6181.263477 21642.328887 130925.515247